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West Coast Wind Blog: Anatomy of a near perfect Forecast

admin by admin
May 2, 2023
in News


Yesterday I made a rare forecast for almost every site in the Bay to blow since the pressure gradient to the Central Valley was pretty evenly split between Sacramento, Stockton and towards Bakersfield. This set up was covered in yesterday’s blog.

As you can see in the imagery below most sites reached or exceeded the forecast winds.

The big exception was Crissy. Which, despite the Anita Rock reading mostly had very light winds near shore.

This was due to the lingering fog streamer coming through the Golden Gate.

Not a bad forecast. Notice all the different wind direction.

Also note that Waddell had strong winds despite my warning that there was a 50% chance that we would not get Año Nuevo clearing.

Anyone who has sat a Crissy or on the Marin Headlands for a few hours knows that the details of fog movement changes very fast. So often our forecasts will be wrong for the winds near shore at Crissy if the fog spreads.

Overall the wind map really shows the impact of having the pressure gradient to the Central Valley pretty evenly

split between Sacramento, Stockton and towards Bakersfield.



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West Coast Wind Blog: Where does the North Pacific High go once the intense NW winds have subsided for several days?

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West Coast Wind Blog: Why do so many San Francisco sites blow when the pressure gradient is evenly split?

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West Coast Wind Blog: Why do so many San Francisco sites blow when the pressure gradient is evenly split?

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